Mostly quiet this week. Warming trend ahead. Rain chance by Thursday.

It’s a beautiful, cloud-free day on this Monday across the Tennessee Valley! Temperatures have made it up into the mid to upper 50s this afternoon. The closest unsettled weather we have is a frontal boundary over the Plains that won’t get here until Thursday and then showery weather off the Southeast coast that is moving away.

Most areas have gotten very near or have reached their daytime highs for today, but one or two spots may warm another degree or two this afternoon. A few mid/high clouds move in overnight, but we are otherwise mostly clear with overnight lows in the low to mid 30s. However, we can’t rule out a few of the naturally colder areas like the sheltered valley locations sneaking down into the upper 20s by daybreak on Tuesday morning.

We’re even warmer for the next couple of days as a southerly wind starts to become established ahead of the front over the Plains that eventually arrives Thursday. We’re mostly sunny again Tuesday with highs in the low to mid 60s. As we get a stronger south wind on Wednesday, temperatures areawide climb near or into the lower 70s! That frontal system arrives Thursday into Thursday night with an increase in cloudiness and showers and a few thunderstorms. We don’t expect any severe storms at this time, although we watch every system carefully this time of year. That Thursday system is our only rain chance on the board this week. Slightly cooler air moves in behind that system with highs back in the upper 50s for Friday and Saturday before we start turning warmer again from Sunday into next week.

No signs of any big cooldown in the immediate future. The 6-10 day temperature outlook from the NWS Climate Prediction Center shows above average temperatures from the Plains into our area. We also note near to slightly above average precipitation chances during this period. Beyond our system on Thursday, there is another weather system we will be watching toward next Tuesday or Wednesday for rain and storm chances. Too far out at this point to speculate on whether or not that one may have a strong/severe storm threat with it, but we’ll be watching carefully as we get closer to it!

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