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Showers Move Out – Mild Temperatures Move In

Well, it has certainly been a classic “November day” if such a thing exists today with those showers (some including graupel-like hail!) and overcast skies – and quite cool temperatures with highs only inching into the 50s for all of us today. With time today we’re continuing to see the showers move out for good, but too little too late as far as letting our temperatures get any higher as this will only be through the PM hours. The next few days buck this trend, however, and we see a bit of seasonal whiplash locally – for the better!

Tonight we see 30s once again, and especially west of 65 we could see some frost in spots across the area – you will notice on the low map that some of us are just 1 or 2 degrees away from freezing. We aren’t expecting a widespread total hard freeze, but a few of us will likely see that especially in the underlying valleys, so for the sake of it let’s just go ahead and bring our plants inside, somewhere warm. And pets, too! Don’t expect the cold to be the story through the workweek though, especially tomorrow… No Monday blues on tap here with BEAUTIFUL clear skies returning and temperatures beginning the upwards trend, with highs in the lower 60s on the whole, certainly an improvement compared to today on basically all fronts.

In fact the trend temperature-wise is exactly what I meant earlier by “seasonal whiplash” – coming up over the next week or so the story will be above-average, mild temperatures not just locally but for much of the Continental United States thanks to a relatively robust Southwestern Ridge keeping us dry for the first/middle part of the workweek. If you’re a weekend employee with any days off in the workweek like myself, it’s the next few days you’re going to want to do your outdoor plans or errands, because we’ll more or less have a taste of spring creeping back in.

The 60s we see tomorrow, as mentioned earlier, really are just the beginning of this trend which eventually guides us firmly into the 70s for daytime highs – perhaps by Tuesday, but definitely by Wednesday and Thursday with dry weather persisting both days. Now, longer term, we have seen signals of shower activity by the end of the week and beyond, but nothing strongly suggests washout conditions – so don’t expect a totally wet Friday just yet. More than anything, the relatively mild conditions are the story… so enjoy it while you can as we head deeper into the cool season!

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Chase Wilson
Meteorologist & Radar Expert at Tennessee Valley Weather