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Warming temperatures, and little to no rain. Pretty standard for September, but drought conditions are a concern.

Another beautiful weather day on Wednesday, but a little bit warmer than what we were earlier today. Daytime highs will climb into the upper 80s for most folks, and there may certainly be a few lower 90s peppered in here and there. Expect mostly clear skies to continue for Wednesday night with overnight lows mainly into the lower 60s, but upper 50s will be around near and east of I-65, especially in southern middle Tennessee.

We will have a few clouds with a passing disturbance the first half of Thursday, and we can’t even rule out a sprinkle or brief light shower. The vast majority of folks will stay dry, however. Similar conditions on Friday with another weak and dying disturbance. The chance of a shower either day is only 10% or less. We look to stay partly cloudy to mostly sunny through the weekend as daytime highs climb into the lower 90s as an upper ridge reaffirms itself just to our west and we are caught on the eastern edge of it. By the first half of next week, we are into the mid 90s for a few days before that upper ridge tries to weaken a bit.

The latest outlooks for the 6-10 period from the National Weather Service show decent confidence in above average temperatures and below average precipitation. This means that, while we won’t have to worry much about outdoor activities like football games and fairs and things having weather interruptions, there will be increasing opportunity for drought conditions to continue to worsen across the area. The heavy rain back on Friday evening into Saturday morning put a brief pause on that, but increasing temps and a significant stretch without decent rain chances will mean our soil moisture continues to dry out. September and October are historically the driest months of the year here, based on local climatological records.

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Fred Gossage
Chief Meteorologist of the Tennessee Valley Weather Team