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One more dry, sunny day, and then the rain chances start coming back…

Enjoy the sunshine while it lasts because rain chances are on the way back… just not today. We’ll see a few clouds on our Wednesday, but plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. Daytime highs across the area today will be in the mid to upper 80s, and one or two spots in north Alabama might make a brief run for 90. Clouds begin to increase overnight but still only partly cloudy. Overnight lows a few degrees warmer with increasing moisture in the air. We’ll get down to only the mid to upper 60s tonight.

As we head into Thursday, that’s when things begin to change, but they don’t change tremendously just yet. We’re still looking at a mix of sun and clouds and warm temperatures for Thursday, but southerly winds will be bringing in more moisture, and we expect to see a few scattered showers and thunderstorms from midday through the afternoon and evening. We’re not expecting any severe storms, but any storm on an early summer afternoon could briefly have pea size hail or strong wind gusts. Storms won’t be widespread but they will be floating around out there. By the late evening and overnight, while the rain chances won’t go all the way down to zero, most of the showers and storms will quiet down with the loss of daytime heating.

More widespread chances for showers and storms begin to come back as we head into Friday, and then through the weekend into the first part of next week. It won’t be a non-stop all-day washout at any point, but showers and storms will be widespread each day… both during the daytime hours and during the night. Some of the rain may be locally heavy, and although any storm may have strong wind gusts or small hail, we’re still not seeing anything that stands out as an organized severe storm risk. We are certainly happy about that! Daytime highs will be in the mid to upper 80s due to some sun breaks outside of the rain, and overnight lows will be coming back closer to 70 degrees as the muggy air returns.

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Fred Gossage
Chief Meteorologist of the Tennessee Valley Weather Team